The national outlook
Eight days at a glance
Select a date to exploreMonday, Jun 16, 2025
Highest risk in the U.S.
Enhanced Risk
severe risk levels
The SPC outlook places parts of the country in a enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 1 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Original national SPC graphic from the same named issuance. The data issue time and the time printed on the graphic are source-specific and can differ slightly.
View the official SPC source ↗Tuesday, Jun 17, 2025
Highest risk in the U.S.
Enhanced Risk
severe risk levels
The SPC outlook places parts of the country in a enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 2 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Original national SPC graphic from the same named issuance. The data issue time and the time printed on the graphic are source-specific and can differ slightly.
View the official SPC source ↗Wednesday, Jun 18, 2025
Highest risk in the U.S.
Slight Risk
severe risk levels
The SPC outlook places parts of the country in a slight risk of severe thunderstorms.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 3 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:31 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Original national SPC graphic from the same named issuance. The data issue time and the time printed on the graphic are source-specific and can differ slightly.
View the official SPC source ↗Thursday, Jun 19, 2025
Highest risk in the U.S.
15% or greater
Severe weather within 25 miles
An SPC severe weather probability area includes parts of the country. It describes severe weather within 25 miles of a point during the outlook period.
This is an area threshold during the outlook period, not a precise personal probability or a chance of rain.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 4 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Original national SPC graphic from the same named issuance. The data issue time and the time printed on the graphic are source-specific and can differ slightly.
View the official SPC source ↗Friday, Jun 20, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 5 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
The archived GeoJSON has an unlabeled no-area placeholder. The whole-day status was transcribed from this exact original SPC graphic, with both source hashes checked.
View the official SPC source ↗Saturday, Jun 21, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 6 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
The archived GeoJSON has an unlabeled no-area placeholder. The whole-day status was transcribed from this exact original SPC graphic, with both source hashes checked.
View the official SPC source ↗Sunday, Jun 22, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 7 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
The archived GeoJSON has an unlabeled no-area placeholder. The whole-day status was transcribed from this exact original SPC graphic, with both source hashes checked.
View the official SPC source ↗Monday, Jun 23, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk nationally is enhanced risk on Jun 16
See the full outlookThe national picture
SPC Day 8 outlook
The map shows risk areas across the contiguous United States. It does not describe every location equally. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived published outlook. The issuance cutoff identifies the archived edition; the acquisition time records when the source files were retrieved. SPC issue and validity times describe each forecast.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 24, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
The archived GeoJSON has an unlabeled no-area placeholder. The whole-day status was transcribed from this exact original SPC graphic, with both source hashes checked.
View the official SPC source ↗States with severe weather potential
First seven outlook days –
Each state appears at its highest risk over these dates. Select a state for its outlook.
Enhanced Risk
Slight Risk
- ArkansasJun 18
- DelawareJun 19
- District of ColumbiaJun 19
- IllinoisJun 17
- IndianaJun 18
- IowaJun 16
- KentuckyJun 18
- MarylandJun 19
- MichiganJun 18
- MontanaJun 16
- New JerseyJun 19
- New YorkJun 19
- North CarolinaJun 19
- North DakotaJun 16
- OhioJun 18
- PennsylvaniaJun 19
- South CarolinaJun 19
- South DakotaJun 16
- TennesseeJun 18
- TexasJun 18
- VirginiaJun 19
- West VirginiaJun 19
- WyomingJun 16
Some later days have “Predictability Too Low.” SPC has not identified specific areas for those days.
The full eight-day outlook
National severe weather outlook · 2025
Find your city.
Browse by state to find every city.
Color has a meaning.
Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.