TennesseeState outlook
Eight days at a glance
Select a date to exploreMonday, Jun 16, 2025
In parts of the state
Marginal Risk
severe risk levels
The SPC outlook places parts of the state in a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookAcross Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Tuesday, Jun 17, 2025
In parts of the state
Thunderstorms
Thunderstorms are possible in parts of the state, but no severe weather category is shown. This is not a guarantee that severe weather cannot occur.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 2 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Tennessee outlook
TornadoChance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Tennessee outlook
WindChance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Tennessee outlook
HailChance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 2 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
Tornado
Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
Wind
Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
Hail
Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 12:28 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Wednesday, Jun 18, 2025
In parts of the state
Slight Risk
severe risk levels
The SPC outlook places parts of the state in a slight risk of severe thunderstorms.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 3 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:31 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Tennessee outlook
Severe probabilityChance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:31 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 3 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:31 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
Severe probability
Chance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:31 PM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 18, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Thursday, Jun 19, 2025
In parts of the state
15% or greater
Severe weather within 25 miles
An SPC severe weather probability area includes parts of the state. It describes severe weather within 25 miles of a point during the outlook period.
This is an area threshold during the outlook period, not a precise personal probability or a chance of rain.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 4 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 4 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 19, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Friday, Jun 20, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 5 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 5 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 20, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Saturday, Jun 21, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 6 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 6 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 21, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Sunday, Jun 22, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 7 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 7 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 22, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Monday, Jun 23, 2025
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low
There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
Across this outlook
The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18
See the full outlookTennessee outlook
SPC Day 8 outlookDrawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 24, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
National context
SPC Day 8 outlook
This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook
Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
- Issuance cutoff
- Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
- Acquired
- Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
- SPC issued
- Jun 16, 2025, 3:55 AM CDT
- Valid from
- Jun 23, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
- Valid until
- Jun 24, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Across Tennessee
The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
The full eight-day outlook
Tennessee · 2025
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Color has a meaning.
Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.