ArkansasState outlook

Eight days at a glance

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Monday, Jun 16, 2025

In parts of the state

Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms are possible in parts of the state, but no severe weather category is shown. This is not a guarantee that severe weather cannot occur.

Across this outlook

The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is slight risk on Jun 18

See the full outlook
Forecast product

Map source

Arkansas outlook

SPC Day 1 outlook
Arkansas and nearby states: SPC Day 1 outlook for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Arkansas outlook

Tornado
Arkansas and nearby states: Tornado probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Arkansas outlook

Wind
Arkansas and nearby states: Severe wind probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Arkansas outlook

Hail
Arkansas and nearby states: Severe hail probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

National context

SPC Day 1 outlook
Original SPC Day 1 national outlook valid 2025-06-16, including the official legend and printed issuance.
NOAA / Storm Prediction CenterEnlarge map

This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Arkansas on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Acquired
Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Tornado
National SPC tornado probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Arkansas.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Wind
National SPC severe wind probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Arkansas.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Hail
National SPC severe hail probability for Monday, Jun 16, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Arkansas.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
SPC issued
Jun 16, 2025, 2:54 PM CDT
Valid from
Jun 16, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Jun 17, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

Across Arkansas

The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.

Bentonville ↗No area shown
Conway ↗Thunderstorms
Fayetteville ↗No area shown
Fort Smith ↗No area shown
Hot Springs ↗Thunderstorms
Jonesboro ↗Thunderstorms
Little Rock ↗Thunderstorms
Rogers ↗No area shown
Springdale ↗No area shown

Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.

The full eight-day outlook

Arkansas · 2025

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Color has a meaning.

Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.

1MarginalRisk2SlightRisk3EnhancedRisk4ModerateRisk5HighRisk

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