TennesseeState outlook

Eight days at a glance

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Saturday, Mar 15, 2025

In parts of the state

Moderate Risk

4of 5
severe risk levels

The SPC outlook places parts of the state in a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms.

Across this outlook

The highest categorical risk in parts of the state is moderate risk on Mar 15

See the full outlook
Forecast product

Map source

Tennessee outlook

SPC Day 1 outlook
Tennessee and nearby states: SPC Day 1 outlook for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Tennessee has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Tennessee outlook

Tornado
Tennessee and nearby states: Tornado probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Tennessee outlook

Wind
Tennessee and nearby states: Severe wind probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

Tennessee outlook

Hail
Tennessee and nearby states: Severe hail probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. mySWO rendering of NOAA/SPC data.
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook dataEnlarge map

Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this map

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. This is a mySWO rendering, not an official SPC graphic.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
Map sources and provenance ↗View the official SPC source ↗

National context

SPC Day 1 outlook
Original SPC Day 1 national outlook valid 2025-03-15, including the official legend and printed issuance.
NOAA / Storm Prediction CenterEnlarge map

This national map gives the bigger picture. See the dated answer for Tennessee on this page. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Acquired
Oct 24, 2026, 11:56 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Tornado
National SPC tornado probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Tennessee.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Wind
National SPC severe wind probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Tennessee.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

National context

Hail
National SPC severe hail probability for Saturday, Mar 15, 2025. National context, not a calculated probability for Tennessee.
Official SPC graphic · National viewEnlarge map

Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.

About this outlook

Archived forecast, using its retained SPC data. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.

Issuance cutoff
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
SPC issued
Mar 15, 2025, 3:04 PM CDT
Valid from
Mar 15, 2025, 3:00 PM CDT
Valid until
Mar 16, 2025, 7:00 AM CDT
View the official SPC source ↗

Across Tennessee

The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.

Bartlett ↗Marginal Risk
Bristol ↗Slight Risk
Chattanooga ↗Moderate Risk
Clarksville ↗Slight Risk
Cleveland ↗Moderate Risk
Collierville ↗Marginal Risk
Cookeville ↗Enhanced Risk
Franklin ↗Enhanced Risk
Hendersonville ↗Enhanced Risk
Jackson ↗Marginal Risk
Johnson City ↗Slight Risk
Kingsport ↗Slight Risk
Knoxville ↗Enhanced Risk
Memphis ↗Marginal Risk
Morristown ↗Slight Risk
Murfreesboro ↗Moderate Risk
Nashville ↗Enhanced Risk
Smyrna ↗Moderate Risk

Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.

The full eight-day outlook

Tennessee · 2025

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Color has a meaning.

Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.

1MarginalRisk2SlightRisk3EnhancedRisk4ModerateRisk5HighRisk

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