Outlook · November 3, 2026 Original NOAA / SPC outlooks
Outlooks / North Carolina
North CarolinaState outlook
Eight days at a glance Select a date to explore Tue Day 1 Nov 3 Thunderstorms Wed Day 2 Nov 4 Thunderstorms Thu Day 3 Nov 5 Thunderstorms Fri Day 4 Nov 6 Predictability Too Low Sat Day 5 Nov 7 Potential Too Low Sun Day 6 Nov 8 Potential Too Low Mon Day 7 Nov 9 Potential Too Low Tue Day 8 Nov 10 Potential Too Low Tuesday, Nov 3, 2026
In parts of the state
Thunderstorms Thunderstorms are possible in parts of the state, but no severe weather category is shown. This is not a guarantee that severe weather cannot occur.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall Tornado Wind Hail
Map source mySWO SPC
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 1 outlook mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. North Carolina has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Tornado mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Wind mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Hail mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 1 outlook Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
This official SPC graphic provides state context for North Carolina. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 6:37 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Tornado Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 6:37 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Wind Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 6:37 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Hail Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
mySWO data: No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 6:37 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 3, 2026, 7:00 PM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026
In parts of the state
Thunderstorms Thunderstorms are possible in parts of the state, but no severe weather category is shown. This is not a guarantee that severe weather cannot occur.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall Tornado Wind Hail
Map source mySWO SPC
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 2 outlook mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. North Carolina has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Tornado mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Wind mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Hail mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 2 outlook Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
This official SPC graphic provides state context for North Carolina. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 11:16 AM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Tornado Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
mySWO data: No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 11:16 AM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Wind Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
mySWO data: No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 11:16 AM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Hail Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
mySWO data: No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 11:16 AM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Thursday, Nov 5, 2026
In parts of the state
Thunderstorms Thunderstorms are possible in parts of the state, but no severe weather category is shown. This is not a guarantee that severe weather cannot occur.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall Severe probability
Map source mySWO SPC
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 3 outlook mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. North Carolina has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook Severe probability mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map +
North Carolina outlook SPC Day 3 outlook Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
This official SPC graphic provides state context for North Carolina. The full official legend and issuance are preserved.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 12:38 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 6, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗
North Carolina outlook Severe probability Open map on SPC ↗ Official SPC graphic · Live state view Enlarge map ↗ Loaded directly from SPC. SPC updates this image independently; check the forecast date printed on it.
Chance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. This is an SPC state map. The state risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
mySWO data: No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Intensity in the mySWO data No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
mySWO data issued Nov 3, 2026, 12:38 PM CST mySWO data valid from Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST mySWO data valid until Nov 6, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View this SPC gallery ↗ View the official SPC source ↗ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Friday, Nov 6, 2026
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Saturday, Nov 7, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Sunday, Nov 8, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Monday, Nov 9, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
Tuesday, Nov 10, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook Thunderstorms are shown, without a severe weather category in Days 1–3
See the full outlook ↓ Across North Carolina The state answer uses the complete reviewed state boundary, not the highest risk among its listed cities.
Available city pages for this published outlook; the state result covers the whole state.
The full eight-day outlook North Carolina · 2026
Color has a meaning. Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.
1 MarginalRisk 2 SlightRisk 3 EnhancedRisk 4 ModerateRisk 5 HighRisk