Outlook · October 31, 2026 Original NOAA / SPC outlooks
Eight days at a glance Select a date to explore Sat Day 1 Oct 31 No area shown Sun Day 2 Nov 1 No area shown Mon Day 3 Nov 2 Marginal Risk Tue Day 4 Nov 3 Predictability Too Low Wed Day 5 Nov 4 Predictability Too Low Thu Day 6 Nov 5 Predictability Too Low Fri Day 7 Nov 6 Potential Too Low Sat Day 8 Nov 7 Potential Too Low Saturday, Oct 31, 2026
Outlook for this location
No area shown No thunderstorm or severe weather area is shown for this location in this outlook. This does not guarantee clear weather.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Your local weather office National Weather Service Tulsa OK ↗ Local forecasts and warnings from the National Weather Service.
Tulsa OK office coverage The full TSA County Warning Area is highlighted. The dot marks Rogers. Office coverage only, not a forecast. April 2026 boundaries. TSA · Office coverage Arkansas Missouri Oklahoma Texas Dot: Rogers · office coverage only Office coverage, not a forecast. April 2026 boundaries. Forecast product Overall Tornado Wind Hail
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 1 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Tornado D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Wind D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Hail D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 1 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 1:05 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:53 AM CDT Valid from Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT Valid until Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Tornado Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:53 AM CDT Valid from Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT Valid until Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Wind Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:53 AM CDT Valid from Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT Valid until Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Hail Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:53 AM CDT Valid from Oct 31, 2026, 7:00 AM CDT Valid until Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Sunday, Nov 1, 2026
Outlook for this location
No area shown No thunderstorm or severe weather area is shown for this location in this outlook. This does not guarantee clear weather.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall Tornado Wind Hail
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 2 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Tornado D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Wind D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Hail D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 2 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 12:36 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT Valid from Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Tornado Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 2% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT Valid from Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Wind Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of damaging thunderstorm winds or gusts of at least 50 knots (58 mph) within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT Valid from Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Hail Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of hail at least 1 inch in diameter within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
No area reaches the 5% SPC contour threshold in this national outlook. Below the displayed threshold does not mean zero risk.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 12:33 AM CDT Valid from Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Monday, Nov 2, 2026
Outlook for this location
Marginal Risk 1 of 5
The SPC outlook places this location in a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall Severe probability
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 3 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map +
Arkansas outlook Severe probability D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Chance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 3 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 2:29 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 2:27 AM CDT Valid from Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗
National context Severe probability Official SPC graphic · National view Enlarge map ↗ Chance of any severe thunderstorm hazard within 25 miles of a point. This is a national SPC map. The city risk summary remains the overall outlook; this map does not calculate a separate local hazard probability.
Conditional intensity No intensity area is highlighted in this national outlook. This does not mean the hazard or significant severe weather is impossible.
Day 3 combines severe hazards; separate tornado, wind and hail probability maps are not issued for this day.
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 2:27 AM CDT Valid from Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Tuesday, Nov 3, 2026
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 4 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 4 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 3:11 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 3:07 AM CDT Valid from Nov 3, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 5 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 5 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 3:11 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 3:07 AM CDT Valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Thursday, Nov 5, 2026
Status for the whole day
Predictability Too Low There is too much uncertainty for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% severe weather area for this day.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 6 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 6 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 3:12 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 3:07 AM CDT Valid from Nov 5, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 6, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Friday, Nov 6, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 7 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 7 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 3:15 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 3:07 AM CDT Valid from Nov 6, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ Saturday, Nov 7, 2026
Status for the whole day
Potential Too Low The potential for organized severe storms is too low for SPC to draw a 15% or 30% area for this day. This does not rule out severe weather.
This is a status for the entire Storm Prediction Center outlook that day, not a measured local probability.
↳ Across this outlook The highest categorical risk at this location is marginal risk on Nov 2
See the full outlook ↓ Forecast product Overall
Map source mySWO SPC
Arkansas outlook SPC Day 8 outlook D3 MapLibre Save image Office boundary + − Reset
mySWO map · NOAA/SPC outlook data Enlarge map ↗ Drawn from the same SPC outlook as the risk details on this page. Arkansas has a pale background; surrounding land is gray. Risk colors remain visible across state borders. The map shows Arkansas and surrounding areas; the written outlook on this page is calculated for Rogers.
About this map +
Around Rogers SPC Day 8 outlook NOAA / Storm Prediction Center Enlarge map ↗ Official SPC partner map for the TSA weather-office area around Rogers. The written outlook describes the city’s catalogued reference point. The full official legend and issuance are preserved. View the national map ↗
About this outlook + Latest published outlook dataset. The original official graphic and its printed legend are preserved.
Fetched Oct 31, 2026, 3:26 AM CDT Partner map updated Oct 31, 2026, 3:17 AM CDT SPC issued Oct 31, 2026, 3:07 AM CDT Valid from Nov 7, 2026, 6:00 AM CST Valid until Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 AM CST View the official SPC source ↗ The full eight-day outlook Rogers, AR · 2026
Color has a meaning. Five categories describe increasing severe weather risk. Thunderstorms sit outside that five-level scale. Extended outlooks use probability areas or a status for the day.
1 MarginalRisk 2 SlightRisk 3 EnhancedRisk 4 ModerateRisk 5 HighRisk